These are the upcoming crypto events that may impact crypto the most:
Grayscale XRP ETF SEC Decision (Oct 18, 2025) – First major XRP ETF ruling, setting a precedent for altcoin ETFs.
FOMC Meeting (Oct 28–29, 2025) – Fed rate decisions and inflation commentary likely to sway crypto liquidity.
100% U.S. Tariffs on Chinese Imports (Nov 1, 2025) – Geopolitical escalation risks triggering crypto volatility.
Franklin Templeton XRP ETF Deadline (Nov 14, 2025) – $1.5T asset manager’s ETF outcome could drive institutional flows.
Ethereum Fusaka Upgrade (Dec 3, 2025) – Scalability improvements to boost ETH’s network efficiency and adoption.
Deep Dive
1. Grayscale XRP ETF SEC Decision
Overview: The SEC’s final decision on Grayscale’s spot XRP ETF proposal is due October 18, 2025. Approval would mark the first major altcoin ETF in the U.S., potentially unlocking $5–7B in projected inflows. Denials could stall XRP’s momentum.
What this means: XRP’s price ($0.77 as of Oct 2025) is sensitive to regulatory clarity. Approval would validate XRP’s regulatory status and likely trigger a rally across altcoins.
(CoinSpeaker)
2. October FOMC Meeting
Overview: The Federal Reserve meets October 28–29 amid rising inflation risks and trade tensions. Markets price a 97% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut, but hawkish signals could pressure Bitcoin.
What this means: Crypto markets correlate with liquidity expectations. A dovish pivot (rate cuts) could boost risk assets, while delayed cuts may prolong bearish sentiment.
(TokenPost)
3. 100% U.S. Tariffs on Chinese Imports
Overview: Trump’s 100% tariffs on Chinese goods (effective Nov 1) threaten global markets. Previous announcements triggered a $560B crypto selloff, with Bitcoin dropping from $125K to $102K.
What this means: Escalating trade wars may drive safe-haven flows into Bitcoin or exacerbate liquidations if tariffs disrupt risk appetite. Monitor BTC’s $100K support.
(CCN)
4. Franklin Templeton XRP ETF Deadline
Overview: Franklin Templeton’s $1.5T AUM adds weight to its XRP ETF application, with a final SEC decision due November 14. Approval would signal institutional confidence in XRP’s compliance.
What this means: A “yes” could accelerate XRP’s adoption in cross-border payments and DeFi. Denial might highlight lingering regulatory risks for non-BTC/ETH assets.
(CCN)
5. Ethereum Fusaka Upgrade
Overview: Ethereum’s Fusaka upgrade (Dec 3) introduces PeerDAS for 8x data scalability and DoS-resistant infrastructure. Testnets (Holesky, Sepolia) are live, with mainnet activation critical for Layer 2 efficiency.
What this means: Successful implementation could reduce gas fees and attract more dApps, strengthening ETH’s $2,800 price (Oct 2025) and market share.
(Decrypt)
Conclusion
Bullish short-term catalysts (XRP ETFs, Fusaka) face macro risks (tariffs, Fed policy). The October 28 FOMC meeting is the linchpin—watch for Bitcoin’s reaction to the $100K level and ETF inflows. A dovish Fed + ETF approvals could reignite the bull cycle, while tariff chaos may test crypto’s resilience as a macro hedge.
